There is still a large range of rainy weather in the south due to temperature fluctuations in many places in the country. Today and tomorrow (December 11-12), snowfall in the north will continue to shrink, and the south will continue to maintain a large range of rainy weather. At the same time, the cooling effect brought by cold air is still in progress, and the temperature in most areas will go down to a new level, with cold on top and cold on top, and many places will hit new lows since beginning of winter this year.The decline of treasury bond futures expanded, with the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 10-year main contract falling by 0.18%, the 5-year main contract falling by 0.12% and the 2-year main contract falling by 0.05%.The retail sector moved up for 8 days and 5 boards of Zhongbai Group, while the retail sector moved up for 8 days and 5 boards of Zhongbai Group, with the daily limit of Youa shares, and Dashang shares, wenfeng shares, Xujiahui and Jiajiayue rose rapidly.
Guojin Securities: There is a certain room for the valuation of brokers to rise, focusing on two main lines. Guojin Securities said that looking forward to 2025, liquidity is expected to be further relaxed, market stability will be improved, and a solid market bottom will be built. The improvement of economic fundamentals will be confirmed, and the stock market is expected to go further, which will benefit the valuation and performance of brokerage sectors. Under the background of previous liquidity easing, the valuation of securities firms has expanded to above 1.9X, and the current valuation of securities firms is 1.6X, which has a certain room for growth on the whole. Pay attention to the main line of strong beta business and the main line of mergers and acquisitions.Argentine President Millay: It is planned to cancel capital controls next year. Argentine President Millay said in a televised speech on December 10 local time that Argentina plans to cancel capital controls next year. Millay said that Argentina's economic team is preparing for structural tax reform, which will abolish 90% of the tax revenue, and the Argentine government will continue to ban institutions, secretariats, deputy secretariats, public companies and every state institution that should not exist in the new year. Demián Reidel, economic adviser to Milai, will announce Argentina's nuclear energy plan in the next few days.CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.
Japan Life Insurance: Acquisition of American Resolution Life.Wei Shaojun, China Semiconductor Industry Association: The domestic chip design industry has returned to the double-digit high-speed development track. At the Shanghai IC Industry Development Forum 2024, Wei Shaojun, chairman of the IC Design Branch of China Semiconductor Industry Association, said that it is estimated that the domestic chip design industry sales in 2024 will be 646.04 billion yuan, an increase of 11.9% compared with 2023, returning to the double-digit high-speed development track, and the proportion of the global IC product market will be basically the same as last year. In terms of the distribution of industrial cities, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing continue to occupy the top three cities in the scale of design industry this year. Among them, the scale of chip design industry in Shanghai has reached 179.5 billion yuan, which is further widened compared with that in Shenzhen. The scale of design industry in Wuxi has reached 67.82 billion yuan, surpassing Hangzhou and ranking fourth. In 2024, the number of chip design enterprises with sales exceeding 100 million reached 737.The dollar just hit the 7.2500 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, falling by 0.09% in the day; The US dollar against the onshore RMB was recently reported at 7.2465 yuan, down 0.04% in the day.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13